30 April 2025

Why I am excited about the Performance Review of Digital Spend

By Giulia Cirri

I get it. Funding models are not the hottest part of working in digital services. But funding is how you get stuff done. And how the funding process is structured, the hoops you and your team have to jump through, affect how quickly you will be able to get your thing done, how long you will be able to sustain it, whether you will be able to improve it, and how success is measured.

But the impact of funding models is even larger. They contribute to shaping what is considered  feasible. Cost-benefit analyses influence what is accepted into the realm of the possible at the very early stages of a programme or project. Funding models shape (and reflect) culture, risk appetite, and ambition. Still, the current Green Book methods do not bring out the best of digital delivery, and neither do they scrutinise it well enough.

Current funding methods are inadequate for digital services. 

This might be pretty evident to anyone who has worked on a digital project in the UK Government. I stumbled upon it early in my career: one of my first roles in a government team had to do with defining costs for the Outline Business Case of an ambitious digital programme to improve cross-government data exchange. I vividly remember trying to sketch out the programme’s costs for the next 5 years while we were still in discovery. We did not really know what shape the programme would take yet, let alone the tech, roles, or subscriptions we would need for the next half decade. What we knew was that it was a topic worth exploring, something that had the potential to significantly improve users’ lives. And the pathway to get it done was a 5 year business case based on Green Book guidance1The Green Book is guidance issued by HM Treasury on how to appraise policies, programmes and projects and the recommended framework for developing business cases – see ‘The Green Book and accompanying guidance’ and ‘The Green Book: appraisal and evaluation in central government.

At the time, trying to assess a digital programme through Green Book methodology felt like trying to fit a square peg in a round hole. With the years, that feeling grew. Digital is iterative: it needs flexibility and the ability to pivot as teams learn and iterate. It needs accessing relatively small amounts of funding easily, closing the tap as quickly when results are not met, and ongoing funding for continuous improvement. 

Green Book methodology instead requires you to outline full costs, benefits, and requirements for several years very early in the process with a level of certainty that is unrealistic for agile delivery. The volume and certainty of the evidence requested is particularly prohibitive for projects that use technology for which the benefits are still speculative, like – dare I say it – AI. Not only: Green Book processes are cumbersome and can slow down delivery – especially when they are applied to small changes to existing programmes or at early stages, such as discovery or alpha. Green Book guidance also underestimates the importance of ongoing funding for people (with persistent teams that ensure continuous improvement and maintain feedback loops with users) and tech (to avoid risky legacy systems).

Don’t get me wrong: I am a fan of the Green Book. I just do not think that it works well enough for digital services. We all want funding to be assigned based on evidence, but current funding methods focus a lot on cost-benefit analyses before a project is started, and not enough on continuous assessment against metrics as the project progresses. Although Green Book guidance points to creating monitoring and evaluation mechanisms, ‘most business cases for digital transformation projects do not include agreed outcomes metrics for tracking benefits realisation’2Performance Review of Digital Spend, p.10.  I want to see teams investigate a problem, try out a solution quickly and receive more investment if it is working, instead of spending ages collecting evidence and crafting an Outline Business Case for a project that might change and evolve in the near future. 

This is not about letting digital teams off the hook, and going ahead on a mad spending spree financing anything that has an ‘AI’ label slapped on top. It is about designing funding models that suit how digital projects actually work and are able to scrutinise them at the right time.

This government seems to be paying attention to the divergence between digital programmes and funding methods

The State of Digital Government Review and the Blueprint for Modern Digital Government published in January 2025  set out the challenges of current funding models and the intention to reform the government’s  approach to funding digital and technology3At the time I summarised both documents here.

The Performance Review of Digital Spend, which came out last month, has kept the effort going. It sets 4 funding models to test with a ‘portfolio of pathfinders’ from Digital, Data and Technology (DDaT) projects funded through the current Spending Review (SR25).

Summary of the four funding models, Performance Review of Digital Spend, p.5

There is also a considerable amount of effort into improving training and guidance for civil servants developing DDaT business cases, and a plan to improve outcome metrics and evaluations for DDaT projects. 

Why am I excited about the Performance Review of Digital Spend?

I really like the spirit of this Review: it focuses on reducing the details, evidence, and time required for business cases, especially smaller ones or those that use innovative DDaT initiatives. Instead, it introduces more flexibility to move funding across programs and, and this is exciting, focuses on outcomes and metrics as a way to understand whether funding should progress. 

Currently, every digital investment is put through the same business case approval process, regardless of scale or risk, leading to inefficiencies and delays in delivery

Performance Review of Digital Spend, p.15

In particular, there are five themes that I was really happy to see:

1. Staged funding and increased attention to outcomes

At the cost of sounding like a broken record, business cases often require a level of certainty which is unrealistic and can slow
down service delivery.  At the same time, there is not enough attention on what has happened after the money has been spent. This imbalance limits the opportunity to test things quickly and reduces the scrutiny over services once they have been delivered, which in turn lowers incentives to properly maintain and improve services. 

What to do about this? The first two of the four funding methods are all about staged funding

These funding methods can help bring out the iterative nature of digital. In new services, it is about pushing the art of the possible, pivoting, and failing fast and cheap. In live services, it is about maintaining open the feedback loop with users and continuously improving the service. The reliance on performance management and metrics ties in with the rest of the Review, which includes several initiatives to focus on outcomes metrics and evaluations, such as working with departments to develop new metrics for tracking the benefits from DDaT investments, and the development of evaluation plans for a few high value DDaT investments.

2. More flexibility through portfolio based funding

The third funding model blends programme and portfolio approaches, allowing departments to create one single multi-year business case for their portfolio, and then shift funding between smaller projects in the portfolio. This would be really helpful to decrease the barriers of creating large business cases for small projects or small changes to existing projects, allowing departments to move money around as their projects progress and priorities might shift. 

3. Risk
reduction in
technical
debt and
cyber
security

While as any person in government, I am aware of the ubiquitous presence of legacy tech across government, I am going to come clean and confess that this is not my area of expertise. But the State of Digital Government Review really drove the point home about just how big of a presence and a risk legacy tech is across government. So it is really good to see the government not forgetting about the level of tech debt that we currently have, although  this fourth funding method is the one with the least amount of details in its implementation milestones5 Performance Review of Digital Spend, p.18

4. More and clearer guidance for creating business cases for agile projects

It won’t fix everything, but clear, accessible supplementary guidance can help civil servants make quick progress in adapting Green Book rules to agile delivery. The Review also sets an aim to publish an example
of a lifetime
appraisal for a DDaT
investment, and strengthen the requirements for departments to publish business cases. Sharing the good work that is already being done in government will at a minimum diminish the time cost of business cases and its impact on delivery. 

5. More work to investigate the RDEL – CDEL imbalance

Last, the Review announced more work to investigate the increased use of RDEL rather than CDEL for digital projects6 The UK government’s funding model works around two types of expenses: capital expenses (CDEL) mostly covering one-off spending on assets, such as infrastructure; and resource expenses (RDEL) covering day-to-day, recurring expenditure, such as salaries. . The move towards Anything-as-a-Service (XaaS), meaning buying software as a subscription rather than purchasing physical tech, has driven up the use of RDEL expenditure. This is creating budget problems for departments, because CDEL budget is usually easier to secure7 State of Digital Government review, p.39.

There is another reason why I am personally invested in the government investigating the RDEL-CDEL imbalance: permanent staff is cost under RDEL, while consultants are under CDEL. This means that departments sometimes resort to consultants because capital funding budgets can be easier to secure versus budget to hire permanent staff. I do believe there are situations where consultants are useful: we can bring an outside perspective, help navigate internal politics, bring expertise that is not available in-house, and complement in-house build teams for short delivery periods and then handover to civil servants for maintenance and running. But as a consultant, taxpayer, and user of public services, I am fully okay with being employed where I am actually useful, and not just because a department has more CDEL than RDEL budget. So I am really happy to see further investigation into an issue that is creating barriers to funding while costing the government a lot of money. 

This is not a full review of the Review. This is merely a list of things that made me excited, and it is also definitely biased by my experiences of working in government. There is a lot more stuff in the Review that can make someone else happy, or furious (and I am keen to hear about either). Mostly, I am happy to see interest in moving towards funding models for digital services that feel a bit more like fitting a round peg into a round hole. Or at least an oval one. 

As a professional in the field, and as a user of public services, I am very keen to follow the developments. Next stop: GDS’ multi-year Digital and AI Roadmap this summer. 

Insights

More insights

21 April 2017

Why Government is ready for AI

12 July 2017

Five levels of AI in public service

26 July 2017

Making it personal: civil service and morality

10 August 2017

AI: Is a robot assistant going to steal your job?

19 September 2017

AI and legitimacy: government in the age of the machine

06 October 2017

More Than The Trees Are Worth? Intangibles, Decision-Making, and the Meares Island Logging Conflict

16 October 2017

The UK Government’s AI review: what’s missing?

23 October 2017

Why unconference? #Reimagine2017

03 November 2017

AI: the ultimate intern

09 November 2017

Motherboard knows best?

23 November 2017

Beyond driverless cars: our take on the UK’s Autumn Budget 2017

05 December 2017

Why Black people don’t start businesses (and how more inclusive innovation could make a difference)

06 December 2017

“The things that make me interesting cannot be digitised”: leadership lessons from the Drucker Forum

23 January 2018

Want to get serious about artificial intelligence? You’ll need an AI strategy

15 February 2018

Economic disruption and runaway AI: what can governments do?

26 April 2018

Ranking governments on AI – it’s time to act

08 May 2018

AI in the UK: are we ‘ready, willing and able’?

24 May 2018

Mexico leads Latin America as one of the first ten countries in the world to launch an artificial intelligence strategy

05 July 2018

Beyond borders: talking at TEDxLondon

13 July 2018

Is the UK ready, willing and able for AI? The Government responds to the Lords’ report

17 July 2018

Suspending or shaping the AI policy frontier: has Germany become part of the AI strategy fallacy?

27 July 2018

From open data to artificial intelligence: the next frontier in anti-corruption

01 August 2018

Why every city needs to take action on AI

09 August 2018

When good intentions go bad: the role of technology in terrorist content online

26 September 2018

Actions speak louder than words: the role of technology in combating terrorist content online

08 February 2019

More than STEM: how teaching human specialties will help prepare kids for AI

02 May 2019

Should we be scared of artificial intelligence?

04 June 2019

Ethics and AI: a crash course

25 July 2019

Dear Boris

01 August 2019

AI: more than human?

06 August 2019

Towards Synthetic Reality: When DeepFakes meet AR/VR

19 September 2019

Predictive Analytics, Public Services and Poverty

10 January 2020

To tackle regional inequality, AI strategies need to go local

20 April 2020

Workshops in an age of COVID and lockdown

10 September 2020

Will automation accelerate what coronavirus started?

10 September 2020

Promoting gender equality and social inclusion through public procurement

21 September 2020

The Social Dilemma: A failed attempt to land a punch on Big Tech

20 October 2020

Data and Power: AI and Development in the Global South

23 December 2020

The ‘Creepiness Test’: When should we worry that AI is making decisions for us?

13 June 2022

Data promises to support climate action. Is it a double-edged sword?

30 September 2022

Towards a human-centred vision for public services: Human-Centred Public Services Index

06 October 2022

Why You Should Know and Care About Algorithmic Transparency

26 October 2022

Harnessing data for the public good: What can governments do?

09 December 2022

Behind the scenes of the Government AI Readiness Index

06 February 2023

Reflections on the Intel® AI for Youth Program

01 May 2023

Canada’s AI Policy: Leading the way in ethics, innovation, and talent

15 May 2023

Day in the life series: Giulia, Consultant

15 May 2023

Day in the life series: Emma, Consultant

17 May 2023

Day in the life series: Kirsty, Head of Programmes

18 May 2023

Day in the life series: Sully, Partnerships Associate/Consultant

19 May 2023

LLMs in Government: Brainstorming Applications

23 May 2023

Bahrain: Becoming a regional R&D Hub

30 May 2023

Driving AI adoption in the public sector: Uruguay’s efforts on capacity-building, trust, and AI ethics

07 June 2023

Jordan’s AI policy journey: Bridging vision and implementation

12 June 2023

Response to the UK’s Global Summit on AI Safety

20 June 2023

 Unlocking the economic potential of AI: Tajikistan’s plans to become more AI-ready

11 July 2023

Government transparency and anti-corruption standards: Reflections from the EITI Global Conference in Dakar, Senegal

31 August 2023

What is quantum technology and why should policymakers care about it?

21 September 2023

Practical tools for designers in government looking to avoid ethical AI nightmares

23 October 2023

Collective Intelligence: exploring ‘wicked problems’ in National Security

23 October 2023

Exploring the concepts of digital twin, digital shadow, and digital model

30 October 2023

How to hire privileged white men

09 November 2023

Inclusive consensus building: Reflections from day 4 of AI Fringe

13 November 2023

AI for Climate Change: Can AI help us improve our home’s energy efficiency?

14 November 2023

Navigating the AI summit boom: Initial reflections

20 November 2023

AI for Climate Change: Improving home energy efficiency by retrofitting

24 November 2023

Will AI kill us all?

27 November 2023

AI for Climate Change: Preventing and predicting wildfires 

28 November 2023

Service Design in Government 2023: conference reflections

04 December 2023

AI for Climate Change: Using artificial and indigenous Intelligence to fight climate change

06 December 2023

Release: 2023 Government AI Readiness Index reveals which governments are most prepared to use AI

11 December 2023

AI for Climate Change: AI for flood adaptation plans and disaster relief

18 December 2023

AI for Climate Change: Managing floods using AI Early Warning Systems

28 May 2024

Strengthening AI Governance in Chile: GobLab UAI and the Importance of Collaboration

05 June 2024

Towards a Digital Society: Trinidad and Tobago’s AI Ambitions

17 June 2024

General election 2024 manifestos: the AI, data and digital TLDR

26 June 2024

Building Egypt’s AI Future: Capacity-Building, Compute Infrastructure, and Domestic LLMs

16 July 2024

Beyond the hype: thoughts on digital, data, and AI and the first 100 days

30 July 2024

AI for a brave new world

07 August 2024

Beyond Central Government: How ANIA is shaping Mexico’s AI Landscape

30 October 2024

How AI could support the government’s anti-corruption agenda

06 December 2024

Harnessing AI for development: Uzbekistan’s progress towards becoming a regional IT hub

15 January 2025

Tracking Progress on the UK’s AI Opportunities Action Plan: Implementation is what counts for growth

25 February 2025

The state and vision of the UK digital government

12 March 2025

Beyond Open Data: The Critical Role of Government in Data Sharing

01 April 2025

From policy to practice: how ALIA strengthens Spain’s public AI infrastructure

03 April 2025

Systemic AI risk is slipping off the international agenda. Should we care?

23 April 2025

The Overlooked Importance of Data Reuse in AI Infrastructure

19 May 2025

How Datanomix.pro is using AI to fight fraud and misconduct in Kazakhstan

22 May 2025

Education at the centre stage: Georgia’s bottom-up approach to building national AI capacity

12 June 2025

‘Cutting back office costs’ – AI in the Spending Review

10 July 2025

La transformation digitale au Maroc : le rôle stratégique de la méthode agile

10 July 2025

Digital transformation in Morocco: the strategic role of the agile method

29 January 2026

Beyond the Hype: The Reality of Being a Consultant at Oxford Insights

04 February 2026

Joining Oxford Insights: People at the Heart of Global Transformation

17 February 2026

Bringing solutions from AI startups to the government – The case of the ASAN AI Hub in Azerbaijan

02 March 2026

AI in France: betting on AI adoption and sovereignty rather than racing for the most powerful models

02 March 2026

IA en France: miser sur la souveraineté et les services plutôt que sur la course à la puissance des modèles

11 March 2026

Innovation under tough circumstances: Ukraine’s AI strategy in times of war

29 April 2026

Использование стандартов данных в экологическом мониторинге: выводы на основе опыта Центральной Азии

29 April 2026

Using data standards to build resilience in a warming world: lessons from environmental monitoring in Central Asia

01 May 2026

Is this useful? Effective Service Delivery in the UK

08 May 2026

Turning concepts into reality: how business analysts make it possible

13 May 2026

Value-based NHS procurement: why peer networks matter more than expert ratings

15 May 2026

Stewarding the “OI Way”: why we’re hiring a Director of Delivery

20 May 2026

Sovereign AI is the wrong framing

03 June 2026

From vision to reality: five lessons from advising governments on AI

12 June 2026

El Papa, el Presidente y el G7: qué significa la disputa por el poder en la gobernanza de la IA para los países intermedios

12 June 2026

The Pope, the President, and the G7: what the AI governance power contest means for middle states

30 June 2026

Why diverse thinking makes for better public-sector delivery, and what that means for how we hire

08 July 2026

Embracing scepticism, earning trust: lessons from Sport England’s Data & AI Lab

15 July 2026

There is no side to take on frontier AI

27 July 2026

Europe’s AI Advantage is Not Compute

04 August 2026

Why we are inviting governments to submit evidence to the Government AI Readiness Index